Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.046052 0.054177 0.063262 0.074166 0.086892 0.101271 0.118746
2025-07-20 0.033620 0.044173 0.057274 0.074703 0.097258 0.125438 0.163301
2025-07-27 0.026431 0.037831 0.053174 0.075270 0.106215 0.147952 0.208468
2025-08-03 0.021866 0.033596 0.050469 0.076406 0.115159 0.170795 0.256617
2025-08-10 0.018902 0.030878 0.049128 0.078801 0.125669 0.196648 0.312081
2025-08-17 0.015538 0.026842 0.044994 0.076049 0.127629 0.209598 0.349397
2025-08-24 0.013384 0.024328 0.042755 0.075769 0.133152 0.228387 0.397907
2025-08-31 0.011523 0.021962 0.040336 0.074698 0.136991 0.244612 0.443896
2025-09-07 0.010383 0.020680 0.039558 0.076289 0.145506 0.269581 0.507801
2025-09-14 0.009114 0.018934 0.037657 0.075491 0.149473 0.286825 0.559771
2025-09-21 0.007914 0.017119 0.035345 0.073534 0.150896 0.299414 0.604390
2025-09-28 0.006849 0.015406 0.032970 0.071080 0.150942 0.309250 0.644676
2025-10-05 0.006283 0.014679 0.032529 0.072585 0.159319 0.336645 0.723875
2025-10-12 0.005692 0.013804 0.031653 0.073057 0.165629 0.360696 0.799403
2025-10-19 0.005180 0.013024 0.030868 0.073600 0.172140 0.385897 0.880426
2025-10-26 0.004769 0.012413 0.030370 0.074709 0.180024 0.414912 0.973209
2025-11-02 0.004480 0.012056 0.030403 0.077052 0.191017 0.452003 1.088459
2025-11-09 0.003929 0.010940 0.028460 0.074359 0.189772 0.461293 1.141005
2025-11-16 0.003575 0.010282 0.027549 0.074086 0.194332 0.484518 1.229103
2025-11-23 0.003223 0.009572 0.026401 0.073038 0.196808 0.503043 1.308024
2025-11-30 0.003027 0.009263 0.026255 0.074594 0.206139 0.539304 1.435105
2025-12-07 0.002752 0.008682 0.025293 0.073814 0.209230 0.560350 1.526112
2025-12-14 0.002463 0.008011 0.023988 0.071899 0.209008 0.572904 1.596593